Midnight Votes, Backroom Deals, and a Death Panel

[Marty]

The American people are fed up and the passage of health care has become the final nail in their coffin. They have chosen to ignore us so we will take action with our vote and by our voice and protest make their last year in office the most miserable year of their arrogant and deceptive lives.

[quote]Today at 8:52pm

Last weekend while you were preparing for the holidays with your family, Harry Reid’s Senate was making shady backroom deals to ram through the Democrat health care take-over. The Senate ended debate on this bill without even reading it. That and midnight weekend votes seem to be standard operating procedures in D.C. No one is certain of what’s in the bill, but Senator Jim DeMint spotted one shocking revelation regarding the section in the bill describing the Independent Medicare Advisory Board (now called the Independent Payment Advisory Board), which is a panel of bureaucrats charged with cutting health care costs on the backs of patients – also known as rationing. Apparently Reid and friends have changed the rules of the Senate so that the section of the bill dealing with this board can’t be repealed or amended without a 2/3 supermajority vote. Senator DeMint said:

“This is a rule change. It’s a pretty big deal. We will be passing a new law and at the same time creating a senate rule that makes it out of order to amend or even repeal the law. I’m not even sure that it’s constitutional, but if it is, it most certainly is a senate rule. I don’t see why the majority party wouldn’t put this in every bill. If you like your law, you most certainly would want it to have force for future senates. I mean, we want to bind future congresses. This goes to the fundamental purpose of senate rules: to prevent a tyrannical majority from trampling the rights of the minority or of future congresses.â€

[Ringer]

I don't care any longer. At 60 I am done with a corrupt government ruining my life and taking away my liberty. I am cancelling all health insurance for my business because the rates just went up 60%. I will not be forced by the government to buy a product from a private business that has screwed me for decades. If they decide to send me to prison for refusal to pay then you better call in sick that day if you are an LEO because there will be an OK corral situation on the national news.

[Vince E]

Well I'm not 60 yet but I am about at a point of saying "You just do whatever the hell you want and when the whole thing blows up in your face we will be there with the I told so's." I will default on all of my debts and go on welfare.

The only way to save this sinking ship is to destroy it and let the survivors build something more seaworthy. The left are just the folks to do the destroying.

[swank]

times are a changin-get use to it or fall behind. four more years should about send you guys to canada. independence for all

[biteme]

Yes sir! No more worrying about the insurance company denying care for my pre existing injury.

[Jeff C.]

Yes, what a fine, fine, day it is!

Jeffrey --

Although it's Christmas Eve, I wanted to share some exciting news: The Senate just passed a historic health reform bill.

In all the back and forth, it's easy to lose sight of what this incredible breakthrough really means. But consider this: This Christmas, there are millions of Americans without health insurance who risk losing everything if they get sick.

There are mothers and fathers who wonder how they'll provide for their children because an illness has wiped out their savings. There are small business owners who worry that they'll have to lay off a long-time employee because the cost of insurance is rapidly rising.

If we finish the job, all this can change. We will have beaten back the special interests who have for so long perpetuated the status quo. We will have enacted the most important piece of social policy since the Social Security Act in the 1930s, and the most important health reform since Medicare in the 1960s.

In Decembers to come, millions more will have access to affordable coverage. Parents will have the security and stability of knowing their insurance can't be revoked at a moment's notice. And the skyrocketing costs plaguing our small businesses will be brought under control.

When you make calls, write letters, organize, this is the change you're making -- a better life for your family and for men and women in every state.

There is still more to do before I can sign reform into law -- a last round of negotiations and final votes in the Senate and the House -- and I'm counting on your help every step of the way. But for now, I hope that as you celebrate this holiday season, you remember that the work you are doing is making our union more perfect, one step at a time. For that, I am grateful to you.

Merry Christmas and happy holidays,

President Barack Obama

[Greg_Cornish]

They may as well have voted "no" with no public option attached or without removing the profit from health care insurance companies. No Democrats or Republicans in the house or senate will ever get my vote again.

[Team Fugowee]

The public option in a few years would no longer exist because the profitability will disappear. So you get your wish.

[Marty]

The only thing that Obamanation succeed at is to assure that no Democrat will get elected for the next 20 years and ObamaCare will be going through the courts being challenge at every turn.

Just because you consider Health Care a “basic human rightâ€

[Jeff C.]

The only thing that Obamanation succeed at is to assure that no Democrat will get elected for the next 20 years ...

Wanna bet? Oh, I forgot... You don't pay your bets.

Somehow you've managed to convince yourself of this delusion that the successes of our great president have undermined the Democrats for the next election. That's ridiculous. He's accomplished what he campaigned on and since he won in a landslide it can only be viewed as a great victory for his presidency and the American people. Imagine that, Our Great President has accomplished more in one year than your Idiot in Chief accomplished in 8 years of ineptitude.

Face it Marty, the Conservative view is old and tired and has been enthusiastically rejected by the American people. Tell me Marty, who is your Conservative champion? Sarah Palin? Hah! She's been discredited as an ignorant hillbilly. Marty, you've lost. You will continue to lose for the next 7 years at least. Let me give you a review of the modern day political developments that are stacked against you:

GH Bush's "do-nothing" presidency led this country to a deep recession. Clinton brought us out of the Republican recession and gave us the greatest prosperity we've experienced in decades. GW Bush squandered the prosperity of Clinton and gave us an immoral and illegal war of torture and other war crimes, not to mention the risk of another "great depression" (those were his very words at the time). Our Great President has not only led us from the brink of "another great depression" but has given us something that has been blocked by immoral Republicans for over 50 years - national healthcare reform.

I know you're scared Marty, and you should be. Conservatives took one shot, to block our Great President from fullfilling his legacy and they came up short. So now you're looking at another 7+ years of Democratic control of the presidency, most or all of which will be supported by a Democratic congress. I can see why you're so enraged, but the target of your anger should be the Conservatives on the Hill who chose to adopt the strategy of "Just Say No" to everything, rather than to join with our Great President in meaningful reform. Sucks to be you I suppose.

[Rod Martin]

*NM*

[Ringer]

Hate to disappoint my liberal friends but no way am I running to Canada or anywhere else. I will make my last stand on my own soil. Bring it on and don't delegate it but do it yourselves. It will be interesting to see how the government handles it when a few million people refuse to pay the health insurance tax. My bet is this one will go to the SC for a constitutional decision. Probably mandate a new tax for not buying a Chevy next. Joke.

[biteme]

[quote="Marty"]
The only thing that Obamanation succeed at is to assure that no Democrat will get elected for the next 20 years and ObamaCare will be going through the courts being challenge at every turn.

Just because you consider Health Care a “basic human rightâ€

[swank]

four more years-four more years-four more years-well said jeff. its just sad that we have to play the party line game to the death and can never think for ones self.

[Vince E]

Kind of in the same way as a broken clock Jeff is right about one thing, the American people (people worldwide for that matter) largely are disillusioned in the conservative view. The actual dynamics of that I doubt he sees though.

An attack on capitalism has been going on in the word since the early 20's. Every time corrupt monetary policies cause another boom and bust cycle someone jumps up and points to how the the unworkable concept of freedom and free markets has allowed greed to ruin the economy and people, generally easily led by nose (very much unlike Americans in the late 1700's) believe them.

What Jeff, like so many others, fail to see is that it isn't capitalism that keeps failing, it is govts unholy unions with global corporations and banking creating interference in markets and monetary policy that is failing. Well, failing us anyway. Its been working quite well for them, until now. They may have overdone it this time. That unholy union is the definition of fascism. Jeff and others call out for corporate controlled govts to save them from corporations. A call for socialism. What makes them think the same angelic folks who brought them fascism would treat them any better with socialism? Do they really think it will be different people in charge?

Your Clinton prosperity was just another bubble awaiting a correction, which began in 2001. Bush didn't want the pain of Clinton's bubble bursting on his watch so he and Greenspan flooded the economy with new paper and cheap credit. This caused investors not smart enough to see what was happening to over invest in long term projects using borrowed money. Add in the MANDATE to sell houses to people who had not deferred consumption long enough to be in a real position to afford them, a mandate created on Clinton's watch, and throw in the reduction in reserves banks were legally bound to hold, derivatives created from bad loans (getting AAA ratings somehow) and you get what we have now. Its the fascists control of the monetary system that is at the root of the bubbles, not any budget created by a sitting president.

What Is your God Obama doing about it? The same thing Bush did only way worse. Trying to re-inflate the bubble long enough to cram through his agenda and then hand over the larger, more painful collapse to the next guy (or gal). Your men are the same as the rest, bankster controlled puppets.

Just as people have become disillusioned with "capitalism" they too will become disillusioned with socialism. Just as soon as they figure out that whatever system of control being administered to them doesn't matter. It will be turned to serve an elite at the expense of the average either way. Ask a Russian. Or Greg.

But in the short run Marty is probably right. The people just waking up to the truth will likely think the only hope, at this point anyway, is in the conservatives, even if they don't agree with the extreme neo-cons. These are a lot of the people who put your God in office. They can see they were fooled.
I think you will once again see a shift in the control of congress in 2010. More accurately, Greg was right, the pendulum will continue to swing. Of course it will be clobbering freedom with each stroke, both left and right.

[Greg_Cornish]

Then get the corporations out of government, not the government out of corporations.

[Marty]

Jeff C you had to cut and paste this slobber worship of your Obamanation or do you really feel this way towards other man? As for me I will give up Bush in a minute to make sure Obamanation would follow suit – to have an omelet you have to break a few eggs. Stand up and be a man!

You don't add 31 million new customers and cut off service loopholes without creating horrific new costs that will nip and tuck the existing ones. There are going to be a lot of enraged people, who lose part of their current benefits to pay for others..................no free lunch, never was or will be.

Just take the part of the bill that is so injurious to cancer patients that we should no longer call it cancer. We should call it "Barry's Disease". In England the survival rate for cancers is 16%, and likewise in Canada. In the United States, the survival rate for cancer is now 90%. Under the Obamanation Health bill, that survival rate for Barry's Disease will fall to 16% as in England and Canada. How does that work for you Liberal Americans? I see it as more lost votes for the Obamanation.

The best part of the bill I like is that everyone has to have health care if you want it or not or pay a penalty of up to $750 for an individual or $2,250 for a family. That is going to be a lot of piss off voters that will not vote for the Obamanation. By the way that is a lot of those Liberal students.

Talk about the loss of jobs you are going to see a lot of small companies not hiring more than 49 employees because if the small company has 50 employees they must offer health coverage or pay a fine of up to $750 per employee. Even better companies with 50 to 150 employees just paying the $750 fine instead of health care costing of $1000 to $1500 per employee (estimated on the low side) and pass on the cost to its customers. Then those same employees having to pay as much as 2% of their income on the low side and 9.8% on the high side. More disgruntled voters. You know how this happen, is because the Obamanation, Pelosi, Reid, Feinstein, Boxer, Frank, Schumer, Leahy, Dodd or the other Democrats have every run a business.

It only gets better, the tax on high-value plans! Insures that offer plans valued at more than $23,000 for family coverage or $8,500 would pay a 40% tax on the portion of plan above the thresholds. This is going to hit those rich unions. Those unions will begin to realize that their unconditional support they have given to the Obamanation and the Democrats are now biting them in the butt.

What you Liberal Democrats tried to limit insurance companies but they were bed with the Obamanation and they are going to make out like bandits. Check out the business pages of the WSJ report that health insurance stocks are rising due to an anticipated increase in customers.

These bills are a tremendous waste of time as the individual mandate will no doubt be found unconstitutional, unraveling the only means remotely possible for funding these entitlements.

I’m so looking forward to 2010 where the Obamanation becomes a lame duck with only two years in office.

[Marty]

Then get the corporations out of government, not the government out of corporations.

Greg the only way to get the corporations out of government is to limit amount of money in running for Office. As long as elections cost the Ungodly amount as they do now both will be in each other’s pocket. Why do you think the Obamanation got elected?

The way I see it, it should not cost more than one million to run for President, No more than $100 thousand for seat in the Senate, and $50 thousand for seat in the House.

When you find persons that can run for office with these low limits then you know you have someone that can reduce the budget and bring the cost of running the country under control.

[StockOption]

Now our only rights, the American viewpoint continues, are the rights to life, liberty, property, and the pursuit of happiness. That's all. According to the Founding Fathers, we are not born with a right to a trip to Disneyland, or a meal at McDonald's, or a kidney dialysis (nor with the 18th-century equivalent of these things). We have certain specific rights--and only these.

Why only these? Observe that all legitimate rights have one thing in common: they are rights to action, not to rewards from other people. The American rights impose no obligations on other people, merely the negative obligation to leave you alone. The system guarantees you the chance to work for what you want--not to be given it without effort by somebody else.

The right to life, e.g., does not mean that your neighbors have to feed and clothe you; it means you have the right to earn your food and clothes yourself, if necessary by a hard struggle, and that no one can forcibly stop your struggle for these things or steal them from you if and when you have achieved them. In other words: you have the right to act, and to keep the results of your actions, the products you make, to keep them or to trade them with others, if you wish. But you have no right to the actions or products of others, except on terms to which they voluntarily agree.

To take one more example: the right to the pursuit of happiness is precisely that: the right to the pursuit--to a certain type of action on your part and its result--not to any guarantee that other people will make you happy or even try to do so. Otherwise, there would be no liberty in the country: if your mere desire for something, anything, imposes a duty on other people to satisfy you, then they have no choice in their lives, no say in what they do, they have no liberty, they cannot pursue their happiness. Your "right" to happiness at their expense means that they become rightless serfs, i.e., your slaves. Your right to anything at others' expense means that they become rightless.

That is why the U.S. system defines rights as it does, strictly as the rights to action. This was the approach that made the U.S. the first truly free country in all world history--and, soon afterwards, as a result, the greatest country in history, the richest and the most powerful. It became the most powerful because its view of rights made it the most moral. It was the country of individualism and personal independence.

http://www.westandfirm.org/Peikoff-01.html

[Greg_Cornish]

Why do you think the Obamanation got elected?

Well, for many reasons, but here are a few. They hated Bush and his lying to get us to fight the wrong war. They were fed up with Cheney and his Haliburton buddies running the non rebuilding of Iraq. They were sick of seeing jobs disappear and the economy being ruined under the Republicans so they thought they'd try the Democrats. They thought Palin was laughable and dumber than Bush. They thought it would be cool to elect a guy who could form complete sentences and wouldn't walk away from the global warming issues.

The way I see it, it should not cost more than one million to run for President, No more than $100 thousand for seat in the Senate, and $50 thousand for seat in the House.

When you find persons that can run for office with these low limits then you know you have someone that can reduce the budget and bring the cost of running the country under control.

I totally agree with the above except for it might take 5 million for president.

[zues]

So, we have two seprate bills, which dont even mimick each other in the slightest. We have back room deals, giving some states sweetheart deals, others will not get. We have a payment program designed to "tax the rich" to pay for it all, oh wait, no, we're gonna tax "gold plated" health insurance plans to pay for it. (of which most are handed out by unions, specifically, the sceiu, but, these will be exempt, because the unions got a sweetheart deal to stop that) One bill says public option, one bill says no to that, one bill says mandated insurance or your fined, one says you'll be jailed. One state gets this, one gets that. Yea, the times they sure are a changin alright. What sense does any of this make? None. Here's a question for all you that seem to hate the inusurance industry.........who do you think will underwrite all the government policies, that will be mandated? Any guesses? You think the government will do that? WE"RE BROKE!!!! We are borrowing money from China, everyday to stay afloat! Who the hell is going to pay for all this? YOU!!!!! Thats who....YOU! The taxpayer. and the rich, don't give a damn, cause, in the end, they'll just stop paying for your insurance through whomever you work for......and let the "government" handle it......they get off better than ever!!! I'm sorry this is NOT about insuring anyone.....it never has been, from the start. It can't possibly be....look at how ridiculous this whole thing is turning out. You're trying to tell me, this is being done in good faith for the American people? If so, why did so many, need the sweetheart deals to get it done? If Dems love babies and old people and poor people so much, ( and vice versa, republicans hate them) why did so many states need so many different back door deals, to get an abortion of a blll passed? In the end, all this will do.....is as follows: bankrupt this country, completely, once and for all. Give hugely, more power to an already corrupt federal government......of which we dont know what they will do with that new found power. Thirdly, make sure, that Americans will never, ever have healthcare, that we once had. Its nonsustainablle. period. Anyone with fifth grade math skills can figure that much out. We are not accomplishing anything, that the most of you on the left want......there's no tort reform, there's no cost controls, they're will be no competition, just more bs laws, which will gum up the system, more bs taxes, to burden us all, and in the end.......no healthcare, which will affordable.....to any of us. As far as 2010, and all that crap......who cares? The damage will be done by then.......hell, they wrote right into the bill, its irreversible. Doesnt that make anyone, stop and pause for a minute, about what this is REALLY about?

[Jeff C.]

In England the survival rate for cancers is 16%, and likewise in Canada. In the United States, the survival rate for cancer is now 90%.

OMG Marty, where did you hear that?! Please show me the scientific source that you used for this outrageous statement.

Ha Ha! Why are Conservatives so clueless when it comes to anything scientific?! Next time you'll be telling us how opposite charges repel.

Let me guess, you got those statistics from some clueless Conservative blogger. Someone who couldn't pass high school science, let alone know anything about medicine. With sources like that it's no wonder conservatives can be duped into believing that global warming is a conspiracy, that embryonic stem cells come from aborted fetuses, that the earth was created 5000 years ago, and that AIDS isn't caused by the HIV virus. Classic!

[biteme]

http://www.medicareforall.org/pages/Real_People

[Vince E]

Doesnt that make anyone, stop and pause for a minute, about what this is REALLY about?

Anyone attuned to the sentiment that the founders had towards ALL forms of govt can see perfectly what is really going on.
Terrorism was used as an excuse to build a powerful force with which to control us, disaster was used as an excuse to build FEMA camps to contain us, and matters of our own good will be used as the means to legitimize and legalize using force and imprisonment when they want someone out of their way. The funny thing is that none of these tricks are new. Every one of them has a historical precedent. What, has human nature evolved or something? LOL
All of that hanging over our heads and the heads of our families should be enough to keep us plugging away at whatever assignment they would give us. When the Romans realized people were fleeing the empire they ordered everyone not to leave and that their current occupation shall now be their occupation for life and be handed down to their children as well, so as to keep the daily work of the empire going. That eventually became the feudal system of Europe and it will probably come to entire world in some form eventually.


It is truly amazing how many people ignore basic human nature and assume that any collection of humans given power over another won't abuse it. These faithful folks are usually the same ones who mock others for any faith they may have, but not always. There are a lot people who should know better that would trust "their" guys not to abuse power too. This tendency towards accumulation of power is a function of basic human nature. So many people don't trust capitalism because of human nature yet they trust govt. Why? At least capitalism, left unperverted by govt involvement, has a natural system of check and balance built in. Its called competition and it makes everyone who participates better off eventually. Even the losers. Govt has no such natural system. The artificial systems included in govt constitutions are easily circumvented.

The founders were extremely distrustful of govt for exactly the reasons we are talking about. The only power govt has is to remove liberty. That is the means by which it performs any task it might attempt. Once started it will invariably march towards total control. It can't exist any other way and it doesn't matter what form it may have been set up in or what the ideology of the the founders may have been.

The founders knew this and did the best they could to provide internal checks against the federal power grab but it wasn't enough. It never will be. All govts will become total govts given time.

Humanity has only two options, assuming it doesn't self destruct.
Continue the cycles of the rise and fall of empires or learn that it can exist without leaders, without central hierarchy.
I'm sure those really educated guys could tell you that in the Big Bang Theory, the basic map of reality, in the universe there is no center. Every point is the center. You would think they would learn something from that.

Like I said earlier, the only way to save this ship is to sink it. And they are doing that quite nicely.

[Vince E]

Wait, Jeff The Educated is going to give us Flat Earthers another lesson in dimensional awareness.

[Vince E]

Then get the corporations out of government, not the government out of corporations

Have you considered that if you weaken govt to the point that it can offer no real favors then the same would be accomplished?

The difference being that now, no organized body of power to be readily abused would be in place and fair competition would provide balance.

[swank]

90% really!

[angler2020]

This thread puts a smile on the banksters faces. It just shows how clueless most people are that have an opinion. National Health Care is just apart of the one world agenda to conform the U.S. to the rest of the world for transition into a one world government. It is a step by step process. You should also follow the money. Health Care stock is on the rise right now. Go figure! National Health Care is just a form of a hidden tax for the banksters. This is just a way for them to transfer the wealth of a Nation to a very selcet few. The Rothschild family owns more than half the wealth in the world. Estimated worth over 500 trillion dollars. Let us make them pay for it. It is only fair, since they have a monopoly on printing dollars.
Health Care also helps consolidate business. Mandatory health care will put some of the small businesses out of business. Which helps corporations get more of a market share of the available business. This will help corporations turn a profit becuase they will have more business.
AIG was the governments example. Insurance companies are in a **** load of trouble. This is because they securitized a bunch of bad derivatives. A lot of derivatives are going to go bust, and the taxpayer is going to be paying for it. The government is in AIG business. Congress is in AIG's business. Congress learned that Insurance is just a way to tax the people to pay for the bad bets the banks made in their casino they call Wall ST. With the amount of bail out money there has been, we could have bought up all the bad mortgages. This isn't the problem. The problem is all the derivatives based off of these mortgages went bust. We are paying for side bets between to private individuals that have zero oversight. And the Nation puts up with this because the are a bunch of ignorant idiots that argue the left- right paridigm.
The banks can and will get away with this. The reason being is people are to lazy to learn the truth.

[Vince E]

Afraid is more likely. No one wants to take the red pill.
It shows the REAL inconvenient truth. I know it scares the hell out of me.
Much better to think everything will be OK if only we can get/keep "our guys" in charge.

[Marty]

From The Heritage Foundation

Legal Memorandum #49

Executive Summary

A mandate requiring all individuals to purchase health insurance would be an unprecedented form of federal action. The government has never required people to buy any good or service as a condition of lawful residence in the United States. An individual mandate would have two features that, in combination, would make it unique. First, it would impose a duty on individuals as members of society. Second, it would require people to purchase a specific service that would be heavily regulated by the federal government.[1]

This statement from a 1994 Congressional Budget Office Memorandum remains true today. Yet, all of the leading House and Senate health-care reform bills being debated in Congress require Americans to either secure or purchase health insurance with a particular threshold of coverage, estimated by CBO to cost up to $15,000 per year for a typical family.[2] This personal mandate to enter into a contract with a private health insurance company is enforced through civil and criminal tax penalties in section 501 of the House bill[3] and with a freestanding mandate and equally questionable civil tax penalties in sections 501 and 513 of the pending Senate bill.[4]

The purpose of this compulsory contract, coupled with the arbitrary price ratios and controls, is to require many people to buy artificially high-priced policies to subsidize coverage for others as well as an industry saddled with other government costs and regulations. Congress lawfully could enact a general tax to pay for these subsidies or it could create a tax credit for those who buy health insurance, but that would require Congress to "pay for" or budget for the subsidies in a conventional manner. The sponsors of the current bills are attempting, through the personal mandate, to keep the transfers entirely off budget or--through the gimmick of unconstitutional taxes or penalties they dub "shared responsibility payments"--make these transfers appear to be revenue-enhancing.

This "personal responsibility" provision of the legislation, more accurately known as the "individual mandate" because it commands all individuals to enter into a contractual relationship with a private insurance company, takes congressional power and control to a striking new level. Its defenders have struggled to justify the mandate by analogizing it to existing federal laws and court decisions, but their efforts do not withstand serious scrutiny. An individual mandate to enter into a contract with or buy a particular product from a private party, with tax penalties to enforce it, is unprecedented-- not just in scope but in kind--and unconstitutional as a matter of first principles and under any reasonable reading of judicial precedents.

Congress has a responsibility, pursuant to the oath of all Senators and Representatives, to determine the constitutionality of its own actions independently of how the Supreme Court has previously ruled or may rule in the future. But it is very unlikely that the Court would extend current constitutional doctrines, or devise new ones, to uphold this new and unprecedented claim of federal power.

Constitutional Overview

In reaction to states that were enacting trade barriers and violating the rights of their citizens, those who drafted and ratified the U.S. Constitution were determined both to constrain the powers of states and, at the same time, limit the power of Congress. They designed an ingenious system of checks and balances that divides state and federal authority in the hope of preventing any one government from exerting too much control over a free people.[5] To that end, the Constitution creates a national government with a legislature of limited and enumerated powers. Article I allocates to Congress "[a]ll legislative powers herein granted,"[6] which means that some legislative powers remain beyond Congress's reach. The Constitution's Necessary and Proper Clause similarly grants Congress the power "[t]o make all laws which shall be necessary and proper for carrying into execution the foregoing powers, and all other powers vested by this Constitution in the government of the United States, or in any department or officer thereof."[7]

The Supreme Court recognized and affirmed this fundamental principle from the earliest days of the republic, as Chief Justice Marshall famously observed: "The powers of the legislature are defined and limited; and that those limits may not be mistaken, or forgotten, the constitution is written."[8] And in his canonical opinion interpreting the Necessary and Proper Clause, Chief Justice Marshall insisted that "should Congress, under the pretext of executing its powers, pass laws for the accomplishment of objects not entrusted to the [national] government; it would become the painful duty of this tribunal, should a case requiring such a decision come before it, to say that such an act was not the law of the land."[9]

Nowhere in the Constitution is Congress given the power to mandate that an individual enter into a contract with a private party or purchase a good or service and, as this paper will explain, no decision or present doctrine of the Supreme Court justifies such a claim of power. Therefore, because this claim of power by Congress would literally be without precedent, it could only be upheld if the Supreme Court is willing to create a new constitutional doctrine. This memorandum explains why the two powers cited by supporters of this bill--the power of Congress to regulate interstate commerce and the power of Congress to tax--do not justify an individual mandate, even under the most expansive readings given these powers by the Supreme Court. In particular, this paper addresses four topics that have not yet been given adequate consideration by Congress and most, if not all, of the commentators:

First, most arguments, either favoring or opposing the individual mandate, do not discuss the Supreme Court's "class of activities" test, which it has applied in every relevant Commerce Clause case. This paper addresses this oversight and argues that, despite the broad congressional power to regulate interstate commerce, the individual mandate provision fails this test and is unlikely to survive the Court's review.

Second, this paper addresses the common, but mistaken, suggestion that a universal federal mandate to obtain health insurance is no different than a state requiring its licensed automobile drivers to have liability insurance for their injuries to others.

Third, this paper analyzes claims arising under the Taxing Clause. A preliminary review raises serious questions about the constitutionality of using the taxing power in this manner.

And finally, this paper explains why it is highly unlikely that the Supreme Court would break new constitutional ground to save this unpopular personal mandate.

The Interstate Commerce Clause

Advocates of the individual mandate, like Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and law professor Erwin Chemerinsky, have claimed that the Supreme Court's "Commerce Clause" jurisprudence leaves "no doubt" that the insurance requirement is a constitutional exercise of that power.[10] They are wrong.

The Commerce Clause, set forth in Article I, section 8, grants Congress the authority "[t]o regulate Commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and with the Indian tribes."[11] From the Founding, both Congress and the Supreme Court have struggled to define the limits of that authority, but it has always been understood that some limit exists beyond which Congress may not go. To be sure, the Supreme Court has been deferential to congressional claims of authority to regulate commerce since 1937. Yet, even as it allowed Congress to exercise expansive powers over the national economy, the New Deal Supreme Court declared that:

The authority of the federal government may not be pushed to such an extreme as to destroy the distinction, which the commerce clause itself establishes, between commerce "among the several States" and the internal concerns of a State. That distinction between what is national and what is local in the activities of commerce is vital to the maintenance of our federal system.[12]

As the Congressional Research Service has recognized, the individual mandate could face a variety of constitutional obstacles, especially under the Commerce Clause:

Despite the breadth of powers that have been exercised under the Commerce Clause, it is unclear whether the clause would provide a solid constitutional foundation for legislation containing a requirement to have health insurance. Whether such a requirement would be constitutional under the Commerce Clause is perhaps the most challenging question posed by such a proposal, as it is a novel issue whether Congress may use this clause to require an individual to purchase a good or a service.[13]

Another word for "novel" is unprecedented, which is literally true: There is simply no legislative or judicial precedent for this claim of congressional power. In the absence of binding judicial precedent, however, the current Supreme Court is unlikely to stretch the commerce power even further than it already has.

The Supreme Court's "Class of Activities" Test

In the last seventy years, the Supreme Court has applied a relatively straightforward judicial test to determine whether a federal statute is within the commerce power of Congress. When evaluating a claim of power under the Commerce Clause, the Court proceeds with a two-pronged inquiry. First, the Court determines whether the entire class of regulated activity is within Congress's constitutional reach; and second, whether the petitioner is a member of that class.

A long line of Supreme Court cases establishes that Congress may regulate three categories of activity pursuant to the commerce power. These categories were first summarized in Perez v. United States, [14] and most recently reaffirmed in Gonzales v. Raich.[15] First, Congress may regulate the "channels of interstate or foreign commerce" such as the regulation of steamship, railroad, highway, or aircraft transportation or prevent them from being misused, as, for example, the shipment of stolen goods or of persons who have been kidnapped. Second, the commerce power extends to protecting "the instrumentalities of interstate commerce," as, for example, the destruction of an aircraft, or persons or things in commerce, as, for example, thefts from interstate shipments."[16] Third, Congress may regulate economic activities that "substantially affect interstate commerce."[17]

Under the first prong of its Commerce Clause analysis, the Court asks whether the class of activities regulated by the statute falls within one or more of these categories. Since an individual health insurance mandate is not even arguably a regulation of a channel or instrumentality of interstate commerce, it must either fit in the third category or none at all. Predictably, Congress has cited only this third basis. The Senate bill asserts (erroneously) that: "[t]he individual responsibility requirement...is commercial and economic in nature, and substantially affects interstate commerce.... The requirement regulates activity that is commercial and economic in nature: economic and financial decisions about how and when health care is paid for, and when health insurance is purchased."[18]

The second prong of the Court's Commerce Clause analysis requires a determination that the petitioner has in fact engaged in the regulated activity, making him or her a member of the regulated class. In its modern Commerce Clause cases, the Supreme Court rejects the argument that a petitioner's own conduct or participation in the activity is, by itself, either too local or too trivial to have a substantial effect on interstate commerce. Rather, the Court has made clear that, "where the class of activities is regulated and that class is within the reach of federal power, the courts have no powers 'to excise, as trivial, individual instances' of the class."[19] Thus, for example, a potential challenger of the proposed mandate could not argue that because her own decision not to purchase the required insurance would have little or no effect on the broader market, the regulation could not be constitutionally applied to her. The Court will consider the effect of the relevant "class of activity," not that of any individual member of the class.

To assess the constitutionality of a claim of power under the Commerce Clause, the primary question becomes, "what class of activity is Congress seeking to regulate?" Only when this question is answered can the Court assess whether that class of activity substantially affects interstate commerce. Significantly, the mandate imposed by the pending bills does not regulate or prohibit the economic activity of providing or administering health insurance. Nor does it regulate or prohibit the economic activity of providing health care, whether by doctors, hospitals, pharmaceutical companies, or other entities engaged in the business of providing a medical good or service. Indeed, the health care mandate does not purport to regulate or prohibit activity of any kind, whether economic or noneconomic. To the contrary, it purports to "regulate" inactivity.

Proponents of the individual mandate are contending that, under its power to "regulate commerce...among the several states," Congress may regulate the doing of nothing at all! In other words, the statute purports to convert inactivity into a class of activity. By its own plain terms, the individual mandate provision regulates the absence of action. To uphold this power under its existing doctrine, the Court must conclude that an individual's failure to enter into a contract for health insurance is an activity that is "economic" in nature-- that is, it is part of a "class of activity" that "substantially affects interstate commerce."

Never in this nation's history has the commerce power been used to require a person who does nothing to engage in economic activity. Therefore, no decision of the Supreme Court has ever upheld such a claim of power. Such a regulation of a "class of inactivity" is of a wholly different kind than any at issue in the Court's most expansive interpretations of the Commerce Clause. A mandate to enter into a contract with an insurance company would be the first use of the Commerce Clause to universally mandate an activity by all citizens of the United States.

Today, even voting is not constitutionally mandated. But, if this precedent is established, Congress would have the unlimited power to regulate, prohibit, or mandate any or all activities in the United States. Such a doctrine would abolish any limit on federal power and alter the fundamental relationship of the national government to the states and the people. For this reason it is highly doubtful that the Supreme Court will uphold this assertion of power.

The Supreme Court's Most Expansive Precedents: Wickard and Raich

To show that such a claim of power is literally without precedent, this paper will now turn to the two Supreme Court decisions that are universally acknowledged as the most expansive interpretations of the Commerce Clause to date: the 1942 case of Wickard v. Filburn[20] and the 2005 decision in Gonzales v. Raich.[21] Neither case supports the individual mandate.

Wickard v. Filburn, widely regarded as a watershed expansion of the Commerce Clause power, upheld regulations under the Agricultural Adjustment Act of 1938, which, in an effort to avoid wheat surpluses and boost prices, controlled the volume of wheat sold in interstate commerce. Under the regulation, farmer Roscoe Filburn had been allocated 11 acres for his wheat crop, but instead he planted an extra 12 acres of wheat to consume on his own farm. Filburn argued that Congress's power to regulate the interstate wheat market did not include wheat that was not commercially traded, but was to be consumed on his own farm.[22]

The Wickard Court rejected this contention because the class of activity being regulated was wheat production. As a wheat grower, farmer Filburn was a willing, participating member of that class, and could be barred from growing more wheat than his allotment, regardless of how he planned to use it. Unlike farmer Filburn, however, those who decide not to purchase health insurance have not engaged in a commercial activity. Indeed, they have chosen to abstain from engaging in economic activity.

In passing the Agricultural Adjustment Act of 1938, Congress only claimed the power to regulate commercial farmers, like Roscoe Filburn, who engage in the activity of growing wheat as part of an interstate market. The statute even exempted small farms. Congress's current effort to compel all Americans to buy health insurance, whether they want to or not, is tantamount to the Agricultural Adjustment Act requiring each American, rural and city dwellers alike, to grow a particular amount of wheat. After all, the refusal to grow any share of wheat could be said to place the burden of wheat production on others and thereby limit the country's wheat supply. Such a limitation would, in turn, substantially affect the commercial market. Therefore, using the same logic underpinning the personal health insurance mandate, Congress can compel every American to grow his or her own wheat to ensure a greater supply to meet the public's demand. Or, conversely, Congress can simply "mandate" that every American buy two loaves of wheat bread each week, thereby ensuring a higher, more consistent demand and price for farmer Filburn's wheat crop.

By boldly asserting that the authority to regulate interstate commerce includes the power to regulate not merely voluntary activity that is commercial or even ancillary thereto, but inactivity that is expressly designed to avoid entry into the relevant market, this theory effectively removes any boundaries to Congress's commerce power--Congress could mandate anything. Under this theory, given that the American auto industry is a highly regulated commercial activity in the national marketplace (in which the federal government has invested), Congress could constitutionally require every American to buy a new Chevy Impala every year, or a pay a "tax" equivalent to its blue book value.

Even in wartime, when the production of materiel is crucial to national survival, Congress has never claimed such a power. For example, during World War II, no farmer was forced to grow food for the troops; no worker was forced to build tanks. While the federal government encouraged the public to buy its bonds to finance the war effort, it never mandated they do so. While Congress levied a military draft, it did so as necessary and proper to its enumerated power in Article I, sec. 8 "to raise and support armies," not its commerce power. What Congress did not and cannot do during a wartime emergency, with national survival at stake, it cannot do in peacetime simply to avoid the political cost of raising taxes to pay for new government programs.

More recently, in Gonzales v. Raich,the Supreme Courtconsidered the power of Congress under the Commerce Clause to regulate the cultivation and possession of home-grown marijuana that is neither sold nor bought and is authorized by state law for medical use. In upholding the constitutionality of the Controlled Substances Act,the Court considered this activity to be strikingly similar to that involved in Wickard:

Like the farmer in Wickard, respondents are cultivating, for home consumption, a fungible commodity for which there is an established, albeit illegal, interstate market. Just as the Agricultural Adjustment Act was designed "to control the volume [of wheat] moving in interstate and foreign commerce in order to avoid surpluses . . ." and consequently control the market price, a primary purpose of the CSA is to control the supply and demand of controlled substances in both lawful and unlawful drug markets.[23]

As in Wickard, the regulated class of activity was the production of a "fungible commodity," and the Court refused to "excise, as trivial," the de minimis nature of Angel Raich's medicinal marijuana plants, or carve out from the class a subset of medical marijuana cultivation in states that permitted this use. Indeed, the Court rested its decision, in part, on the economic nature of the class of activities being reached by the statute:

[T]he activities regulated by the CSA are quintessentially economic. "Economics" refers to "the production, distribution, and consumption of commodities." Webster's Third New International Dictionary (1966). The CSA is a statute that regulates the production, distribution, and consumption of commodities for which there is an established, and lucrative, interstate market.[24]

Having found the activities in question to be economic, the Court then accepted the government's contention that the intrastate subset of this class of activity could not be separated from the larger class: "One need not have a degree in economics to understand why a nationwide exemption for the vast quantity of marijuana (or other drugs) locally cultivated for personal use (which presumably would include use by friends, neighbors, and family members) may have a substantial impact on the interstate market for this extraordinarily popular substance."[25] In short, because the Court in Raich found both that the production of marijuana, like the production of wheat, was an economic activity, and that Congress had power to regulate or prohibit this entire class of activities, it denied the constitutional challenge.

To uphold the constitutionality of a health care mandate under the authority of Raich, the Court would have to find that a decision not to enter into a contract to purchase a good or service was an economic activity that, in the aggregate, substantially affects interstate commerce. Before so concluding it would immediately be apparent to the Justices that, by this reasoning, every action or inaction could be characterized as "economic" thus destroying any limitation on the commerce power of Congress. It is a safe bet that any argument that leads to a conclusion that Congress has an effectively unlimited police power akin to that of states will be rejected by this Supreme Court. As the Court stated in the 1995 case of United States v. Lopez:

To uphold the Government's contentions here, we would have to pile inference upon inference in a manner that would bid fair to convert congressional authority under the Commerce Clause to a general police power of the sort retained by the States. Admittedly, some of our prior cases have taken long steps down that road, giving great deference to congressional action. The broad language in these opinions has suggested the possibility of additional expansion, but we decline here to proceed any further. To do so would require us to conclude that the Constitution's enumeration of powers does not presuppose something not enumerated, and that there never will be a distinction between what is truly national and what is truly local.... This we are unwilling to do.[26]

Nothing about the Court's current composition suggests it would now be any more receptive to an argument that eliminates all limits on the commerce power.

Moreover, the specific type of legal challenge in Raich was constitutionally distinct. The litigants in Raich did not challenge the CSA on its face as an unconstitutional exercise of congressional authority. Rather, as the Court noted, "respondents' challenge is actually quite limited; they argue that the CSA's categorical prohibition of the manufacture and possession of marijuana as applied to the intrastate manufacture and possession of marijuana for medical purposes pursuant to California law exceeds Congress' authority under the Commerce Clause."[27] Thus, Raich addressed an "as-applied" challenge to the CSA, which sought to carve out a subset "class" of state authorized cultivation and possession of marijuana for medical purposes that was insulated from the national market. Instead, the Court found that the relevant "class of activity" in Raich was the entire national market in narcotics and controlled substances--and no one disputed Congress's authority to regulate this class of economic activities. The Supreme Court refused to carve out the proposed subset of this class for separate consideration.

By contrast, a constitutional challenge to a health insurance mandate would not be "as-applied," as it was in Raich, but would challenge Congress's authority to regulate the entirety of this statutorily defined "class of (in)activity"--that is, the individual citizen's choice to refrain from engaging in an economic activity. Unlike an as-applied challenge, which requires the Court to second guess the "class of activities" defined by Congress, a facial challenge assumes the definition of the class of activities in the statute and denies that this class is within the power of Congress to reach.

While the Court has never upheld an as-applied Commerce Clause challenge, in recent years it did sustain two facial challenges--that is, challenges alleging that provisions or bills are unconstitutional under all circumstances--to statutes that attempted to regulate classes of activities that were beyond the power of Congress to enact. In 1995, in Lopez, it upheld a facial challenge to the Gun-Free School Zone's Act, which attempted to reach the activity of possessing a gun within a thousand feet of a school. And again in 2000, in United States v. Morrison,[28] it upheld a facial challenge to the Violence Against Women Act, which attempted to reach the activity of gender-motivated violence. In each case, the Court found the class of activities regulated by the statute was noneconomic and, therefore, outside the reach of the commerce power of Congress, regardless of its effect on interstate commerce.

Because the personal insurance mandate purports to reach the refusal to engage in economic activity--which is both inactivity and noneconomic--the Supreme Court could not uphold this exercise of power without admitting that the Commerce Clause has no limits, a proposition it rejected in Lopez and Morrison, and from which it did not retreat in Raich. Although Congress may possibly regulate the health care industry or the health insurance industry in light of their substantial effect on interstate commerce, the individual mandate regulates the noneconomic inactivity of not purchasing a particular service or entering into a contract.

Both Lopez and Raich acknowledged that Congress could include in the "class of activities" it seeks to regulate some purely local activity it could not otherwise reach if it is essential to a larger regulatory scheme that this intrastate activity be included in the class. The actual language in Raich noted that the CSA was a "detailed statute creating a comprehensive framework for regulating the production, distribution, and possession of five classes of 'controlled substances.'"[29] In short, the Court refused to carve out a subset from a "class of activities" when doing so might "undercut" a comprehensive regulatory scheme. Therefore, Congress may reach even small-scale wholly intrastate production and possession of a good as part of a comprehensive scheme to regulate the interstate commerce in that good. However, just because Congress can or does regulate an entire class of activity or industry "comprehensively" (including some arguably local activity), it does not follow that it can regulate and control every other type of behavior that may affect this class or industry. In the words of the Court in Morrison, this "method of reasoning" should be "rejected as unworkable if we are to maintain the Constitution's enumeration of powers."[30]

Although a refusal to engage in economic activity may ultimately have a ripple effect on the marketplace, the noneconomic activities of possessing a gun near a school or gender-based violence-- activities which occur throughout the nation--had the same secondary effects. Nevertheless, refusing to "pile inference upon inference," the Court sustained facial challenges to both statutes on the ground that the class of activities was outside the commerce power of Congress. Every decision a consumer makes undoubtedly ripples through the broader economic pool; and, in the aggregate, consumer decisions create the national marketplace. Yet this reasoning has never been used to place each individual consumer decision within the purview of federal regulation. Simply because Congress can regulate wheat production under the Agricultural Adjustment Act does not entail that Congress can require every American to buy boxes of Shredded Wheat cereal on the grounds that, by not buying wheat cereal, non-consumers were adversely affecting the regulated wheat market.

Law professor Erwin Chemerinsky has speculated that the Supreme Court's civil rights decisions in Heart of Atlanta Motel v. United States[31] and Katzenbach v. McClung[32] would permit Congress to regulate economic "inactivity": "Congress can use its commerce power to forbid hotels and restaurants from discriminating based on race," he contends, "even though their conduct was refusing to engage in commercial activity."[33] At issue in Heart of Atlanta Motel, however, was whether "racial discrimination by motels affected commerce."[34] As the Court explained in Perez:

It was the "class of activities" test which we employed in Heart of Atlanta Motel, Inc. v. United States, to sustain an Act of Congress requiring hotel or motel accommodations for Negro guests. The Act declared that "'any inn, hotel, motel, or other establishment which provides lodging to transient guests' affects commerce per se." That exercise of power under the Commerce Clause was sustained.[35]

Under the civil rights acts upheld by the Court, no person was mandated to operate a motel. But, as with any economic regulation, anyone who chose to operate a motel--a quintessential economic activity--had to play by certain rules set by Congress. Similarly, Katzenbach concerned the federal rule against racial discrimination by anyone who chose to operate a restaurant, another economic activity. The class of regulated activity upheld in these cases was the operation of motels and restaurants. According to the Court in Katzenbach, the Civil Rights Act regulated a restaurant "if...it serves or offers to serve interstate travelers or a substantial portion of the food which it serves...has moved in commerce."[36] The legislation barred racial discrimination by those who freely chose to operate a commercial enterprise. No one was mandated to open a motel or restaurant; and no one was mandated to open the doors of their homes to bed and feed strangers. Individuals, unlike motels or restaurants, are not commercial enterprises actively engaged in interstate commerce.

Individuals' decisions not to enter certain economic transactions have never before subjected them to the federal regulation of a market that they have chosen not to enter. The health bill's individual mandate provision would have the unprecedented effect of subjecting an individual's decisions to federal control by virtue of the fact that the individual merely resides within the borders of the United States. No such result was supported or even contemplated by the Supreme Court in Katzenbach or Heart of Atlanta Motel.

Personal Health Insurance v. Drivers' Auto Liability Insurance

Some have argued that a federal mandate requiring all citizens to obtain health insurance is no different than state laws that require licensed drivers to carry proof of auto insurance when driving on the public roads.[37] But there are several important constitutional differences that render the comparison decidedly inapposite.

First, there is a fundamental constitutional difference between the inherent police powers of the states and the enumerated powers of the national government. A bedrock principal of the American republic is that, whereas states enjoy plenary police powers (albeit subject to various constitutional limits), the national government is limited to the enumerated powers "herein granted" to it by the Constitution. Thus, states may craft numerous regulations for the protection of their citizens which are beyond Congress's power. In striking down the federal Gun-Free School Zones Act, the Lopez Court acknowledged that the states already enforced similar criminal laws even though Congress could not. Likewise, when it struck down the federal tort action for rape in Morrison,the Court did not question state laws allowing similar causes of action. State laws regulating the level of insurance that licensed state drivers must have to operate on state roads stem from a completely different source of constitutional authority--a state's police power--than Congress can invoke. Congress has never been thought to have such power, and the Supreme Court has always denied that such plenary federal power exists.

Second, automobile insurance requirements impose a condition on the voluntary activity of driving; a health insurance mandate imposes a condition on life itself. States do not require non-drivers, including passengers in cars with potentially bad drivers, to buy auto insurance liability policies--even though such a requirement undoubtedly would lower the auto insurance premiums for those who do drive. The auto insurance requirement is linked to driving and to the possibility that bad driving may cause injuries to others, including passengers in the driver's car, not to those who benefit from roads generally.

Third, state auto insurance requirements are limited to those who drive on public roads. The public roads are mostly constructed, owned, and maintained by the government, or in some other cases, are built on public rights of way or through the use of eminent domain. What a state (or private citizen) may require of someone using its property is wholly different than what it may do to control their purely private behavior. Driving on government roads is a privilege--one easily distinguished from merely living. For those who choose to drive on public roads, the state can establish terms and conditions reasonably related to preventing injury to others. States may issue drivers licenses, establish and enforce traffic laws, and may require that all those driving on their roads be adequately insured to compensate others for their injuries. These same rules do not extend to driving on private roads or property. Indeed, one may drive vehicles on private property without ever obtaining a state driver's license.

Finally, states require drivers to maintain auto insurance only to cover injuries to others.[38] The mandate does not require drivers to insure themselves or their property against injury or damage. Thus, the auto insurance requirement covers the dangers and liabilities posed by drivers to third parties only, even though many of those same risks apply to the driver himself. The auto insurance mandate seeks to avoid the all-too-common problem of an uninsured and insolvent motorist severely injuring a third party on a public road, leaving the injured party to cover her own medical expenses. But the driver remains free to assume the risk that she will injure herself, even if she is insolvent to pay for her own expenses. Thus, states only seek to ensure that drivers can pay the equivalent of tort judgments for their wrongful conduct to others on state roads; they do not tell drivers how to take care of themselves.

Therefore, comparisons between a federal mandate for personal health insurance and the state auto insurance requirements are specious. The dissimilarities between the two types of schemes actually illuminate how Congress's new "personal responsibility" mandate is without precedent in policy and, for this reason, lacks any precedent in constitutional law. Whether or not Congress has the power to establish a national "single payer" health care program by using its powers to tax and spend, such a program would not be supported by the Constitution's Commerce Clause. Any power to establish a national health care program simply does not entail the distinct constitutional power to compel persons to purchase a contract of insurance from a private insurance company.

An Unconstitutional Tax

Article I, section 8 of the U.S. Constitution delegates to Congress the power "To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defense and general Welfare of the United States...." From this enumerated taxation power, the courts have derived an implied power to spend tax revenues. Whether correct or not, current precedents do not limit this so-called "spending power" to expenditures that are necessary and proper to carry into execution an enumerated power. Therefore, the courts may well allow Congress to use its taxing and spending powers to craft a general income tax sufficient to pay for health care insurance for more Americans.[39] They may also allow grants to states to encourage them to insure more Americans. Finally, they may allow Congress to create tax credits for individuals who pay for their own health insurance policies. But just because Congress may use its powers of taxation in these ways does not mean that anything it decides to call a "tax" is constitutional.

Should it adopt any of these constitutional taxing and spending measures, Congress would have to incur the political costs arising from increasing the income tax and the long-term budget implications of issuing tax credits. Precisely to avoid incurring these political costs, Congress is calling fines in the Internal Revenue Code "shared responsibility penalties" so that persons fund the cost of its new regulatory scheme by channeling money through private insurance companies in the form of "premiums." It is likely that the Supreme Court will find this effort to avoid political and fiscal accountability a pretextual assertion of Congress's taxation powers and therefore, unconstitutional.

The Supreme Court has invalidated congressional action on the ground that such action employed unconstitutional means to an end that Congress could have constitutionally accomplished in another manner. For example, in the 1997 case of Printz v United States,[40] the Court struck down a provision of the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act requiring that local county sheriffs conduct instant background checks on gun purchasers. Although Congress had the power to provide and pay for its own enforcement mechanism, the Court thought that "[t]he power of the Federal Government would be augmented immeasurably if it were able to impress into its service--and at no cost to itself--the police officers of the 50 States."[41] In Printz, the Court rejected what it referred to as "the last, best hope of those who defend ultra vires congressional action, the Necessary and Proper Clause." It concluded that, "[w]hen a 'La[w]...for carrying into Execution' the Commerce Clause violates the principle of state sovereignty, it is not a 'La[w]...proper for carrying into Execution the Commerce Clause,' and is thus, in the words of The Federalist, 'merely [an] ac[t] of usurpation' which 'deserve[s] to be treated as such.' The Federalist No. 33, at 204 (A. Hamilton)."[42]

Even if these bills propose a genuine tax, rather than a fine under the pretext of a "tax," such a tax raises an independent constitutional problem. The bills alternatively call the individual mandate tax a "penalty" or a "shared responsibility payment" on any person in the United States who fails to maintain "minimum essential coverage" for one month or more, and who does not fall into one of a list of exceptions.[43] Rather than operating as a tax on income, this is a tax on the person--all persons who cannot avail themselves of an exception--and is, therefore, a capitation tax.[44]

Unlike income taxes, which under the Sixteenth Amendment can be assessed disproportionately among the states based upon disparities in income, the Constitution requires that capitation taxes be apportioned among the states on the basis of census population.[45] Soon after the passage of the Sixteenth Amendment, the Supreme Court acknowledged the continued constitutional requirement of apportionment of taxes imposed directly on the person:

[T]his amendment shall not be extended by loose construction, so as to repeal or modify, except as applied to income, those provisions of the Constitution that require an apportionment according to population for direct taxes....This limitation still has an appropriate and important function, and is not to be overridden by Congress or disregarded by the courts.[46]

Accordingly, in order to be constitutional, the health care mandate tax must be assessed evenly based upon population, and not vary based upon factors such as the financial condition of the state's residents. A state with 5 percent of the population must therefore pay 5 percent of the tax, even if its residents are disproportionately wealthy or poor as compared with other states.

This requirement will be impossible to meet based upon the variety of exceptions provided for in the mandate. For example, the mandate exempts individuals who are not lawfully present in the United States.[47] But illegal aliens have been counted in the census,[48] and the Constitution requires that any capitation or direct tax be apportioned on a basis that would include that population. Failure to apportion the tax to include illegal immigrants would therefore be constitutionally fatal to the tax.

The mandate also excludes taxpayers with income under 100 percent of the poverty line,[49] individuals for whom the required contribution would exceed 8 percent of their income,[50] religious objectors,[51] incarcerated individuals,[52] and anyone determined to have suffered a hardship regarding their capability to obtain coverage, as determined in the discretion of the Secretary of Health and Human Services.[53] While it is common to carve out exceptions like these in the context of the individual income tax, the Constitution forbids these distinctions in capitation or direct taxes insofar as they would upset apportionment on the basis of census population, which they unquestionably will.

A Properly Restrained Supreme Court

Mandating that all private citizens enter into a contract with a private company to purchase a good or service, or be punished by a fine labeled a "tax," is unprecedented in American history. For this reason, there are no Supreme Court decisions authorizing this exercise of federal power. There are strong grounds to predict that the current Court will not devise any new doctrines by which to uphold an individual health insurance mandate. First and foremost, as already mentioned, to uphold this exercise of power, the Supreme Court would have to affirm for the first time in its history that Congress has a general or plenary police power--a position the Court has repeatedly refused to take.

While the Raich decision affirmed the continuing vitality of the Wickard line of Commerce Clause cases, it neither overruled nor limited Lopez and Morrison. Instead it adhered to those decisions by finding that the cultivation of marijuana was an economic activity. Unlike Raich, both Lopez and Morrison were facial challenges to an act of Congress. In evaluating an as-applied Commerce Clause challenge, the Raich Court adopted the "class of activities" defined by Congress in the Controlled Substances Act, and refused to consider the narrower class of activity proposed by the parties challenging the application of the Controlled Substances Act to them, because reaching this subset of economic activities was essential to the broader regulatory scheme. Although this made "as-applied" Commerce Clause challenges more difficult, it did nothing to undermine a "facial" challenge to a statutorily defined class of activities that are largely or entirely outside the scope of the Commerce Clause. Any more expansive reading of Raich is unfaithful to the actual reasoning of the Court and is an exercise in wishful thinking by those who support unlimited federal power.

Moreover, there is every reason to believe that five Justices of the Supreme Court will be open, and perhaps even eager, to reaffirm the principles of Lopez and Morrison in a case involving neither an as-applied challenge nor marijuana, and to dispel any impression that these cases were permanently eclipsed by Raich. There is no reason to believe, and much reason to doubt, that a majority of the current Justices will be interested in expanding federal power even farther than they did in Raich. And it is quite unlikely that a majority of Justices is open to any constitutional theory that would officially and effectively abolish the enumerated powers scheme embodied in Article I and the Tenth Amendment, as would be necessary to uphold a personal health insurance mandate.

Furthermore, the 2008 case of District of Columbia v. Heller shows that a majority of the current Court takes the text and original public meaning of the Constitution quite seriously, especially when considering issues not controlled by existing precedent. A constitutional challenge to an individual health care mandate would be considered an opportunity by the Justices who made up the Heller majority to further vindicate their commitment to text and history in evaluating claims of federal power.

This majority of Justices would know that a refusal to extend the Commerce Clause to reach the individual health insurance mandate will not invalidate any other law. These Justices will also know that Congress has other constitutional, and more politically accountable, means of accomplishing the same ends. Further, the majority will be aware that the health care mandate is not necessary to win a war or respond to a serious economic depression, areas where the Court has sometimes deferred to the political branches. To the contrary, the majority will likely understand that the individual mandate may even cut against health care cost containment.

Although it is always difficult for the Supreme Court to thwart what is perceived to be the popular will, polling consistently shows that this legislation, if enacted, will fly in the face of popular opposition. If that remains true after enactment, the majority of the Justices who are inclined to preserve the enumerated powers scheme and adhere to the original meaning of the text will have little inclination or incentive to stretch the Constitution to reach so decidedly unpopular and far-reaching a power as this one.

Conclusion

In theory, the proposed mandate for individuals to purchase health insurance could be severed from the rest of the 2,000-plus-page "reform" bill. The legislation's key sponsors, however, have made it clear that the mandate is an integral, indeed "essential," part of the bill.[54] After all, the revenues paid by conscripted citizens to the insurance companies are needed to compensate for the increased costs imposed upon these companies and the health care industry by the myriad regulations of this bill.

The very reason why an unpopular health insurance mandate has been included in these bills shows why, if it is held unconstitutional, the remainder of the scheme will prove politically and economically disastrous. Members need only recall how the Supreme Court's decision in Buckley v. Valeo--which invalidated caps on campaign spending as unconstitutional, while leaving the rest of the scheme intact--has created 30 plus years of incoherent and pernicious regulations of campaign financing and the need for repeated "reforms." Only this time, the public is aligned against a scheme that will require repeated unpopular votes, especially to raise taxes to compensate for the absence of the health insurance mandate.

These political considerations are beyond the scope of this paper, and the expertise of its authors. But Senators and Representatives need to know that, despite what they have been told, the health insurance mandate is highly vulnerable to challenge because it is, in truth, unconstitutional. And political considerations aside, each legislator owes a duty to uphold the Constitution.

Mr. Barnett is the Carmack Waterhouse Professor of Legal Theory at the Georgetown University Law Center. Mr. Stewart is a lawyer at the firm of White & Case, LLP. Mr. Gaziano is the Director of the Center for Legal and Judicial Studies at The Heritage Foundation.

[Ringer]

Pretty much what I thought. Trampling our constitutional rights. I am not paying the tax so either they get rid of it or they pay my widow a bunch of money for murdering me for defending my constitutional rights. This thing is a cluster and abuse of power.