Here is some of the scenerios.
If he places 4th or better it is his. Nobody can beat him.
VanDam must place at least 6th to be AOY, Reese at 11th beats that.
VanDam at 1st, Skeet at 4th Skeet is AOY.
Iaconnelli must place at least 4th to be AOY, Reese at 10th beats that.
Iaconnelli at 1st, Skeet at 6th Skeet is AOY.
Biffle must place at least 3rd to be AOY, Skeet at 11th beats that.
Biffle at 1st, Skeet at 8th Skeet is AOY.
Howell must place at least 2nd to be AOY, Skeet at 11th beats that.
Howell at 1st, Skeet and 9th Skeet is AOY.
Jones must place at least 1st to be AOY, and 2nd makes it an automatic tie with Skeet at 12th.
Jones at 1st, Skeet at 10th Skeet is AOY.
Other Possibe TIES.
Iaconnelli in 3rd/Skeet 10th is a tie.
Biffle in 2nd/Skeet 10th is a tie.
Jones in 2nd/Skeet 12th is a tie.
VanDam 5th/Skeet 10th is a tie.
I do not know how they would decide a tie, but Skeet looks good with the odds.
